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Ted Cruz - Is He the New ...

horselipshorselips Senior MemberPosts: 3,628 Senior Member
... Rick Santorum? You remember in 2008 how Santorum won some big primaries, made it a race for awhile, got lots of press attention, then faded away? The latest Fox News poll shows Trump gaining support among Republicans, Cruz losing 11%, with most of that going to Kasich who is now in a statistical tie with Cruz for 2nd place.

What does this mean? We know for a fact that the demographics - racial, political and economic, have all changed dramatically since the days of Reagan and Bush 41. The country is not as conservative as it once was. I hate reality checks. I wonder if Rush Limbaugh might be wrong when he says if the GOP would just nominate a true conservative we'd win the election. We know from painful experience that nominating establishment RINOs doesn't work. But is the solution a true conservative who can't get more than 27% of his party's support, or an outsider who tops out only in the mid-40s? This is a heck of an election to risk guessing wrong.

Ideological nitpicking aside, if it ends up an open convention, the only factor that will matter at that point is who can beat the Democrats. Winning, this time around, isn't everything, it's the only thing.

We probably won't know Cruz's and Kasich's future for sure until the California primary, but as Cruz bleeds and Kasich rises, it appears that the Santorum Syndrome still exists, history does indeed repeat itself, and the more things change, the more they stay the same.

Replies

  • bisleybisley Senior Member Posts: 10,798 Senior Member
    Cruz was always going to have a rough April in the northeast. Don't forget that most of the media originates from New York, and a large number of reporters and anchors are New Yorkers. Also, don't forget that Santorum never got more than about 250 delegates. The Trump momentum in the NE may carry him all the way through, but he more likely will have another slump when the focus shifts back west. He likely will end up having to win California by a large margin, to win outright, or on the first ballot.

    Once Cruz gets out of the northeast, his ground game can make up for some of the lost momentum, and the renewed media frenzy over Trump will probably subside. Trump has a tendency to get very shrill when he isn't winning big, so there are still plenty of chances for him to screw up, once he has worn out his 'New York values' tirade.
  • VarmintmistVarmintmist Senior Member Posts: 7,398 Senior Member
    http://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2016/04/16/cruz-sweeps-wyoming-delegates-nr-cabrera.cnn/video/playlists/ted-cruz/

    all Wyoming delegates, he did the work, his opponent didnt show.

    I wouldnt bet at this time Trump will win NY with enough to sweep it.
    It's boring, and your lack of creativity knows no bounds.
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